The Rookie Impact

I figured I’d throw in who I feel should get the Rookie Of The Year awards…Granted, many players are deserving. Mark Anderson, Vince Young, Marques Colston, Maurice Jones-Drew, Devin Hester, DeMeco Ryans, Ernie Simms, Marcus McNeil, and so on are all deserving. A few however, stand out above the rest.

Maurice Jones-Drew – He’s put up amazing stats, especially considering he shares carries. However, to rain on Maurice’s parade...he’s got two knocks on him. 1) he’s in an offense built to run, 2) he plays a position where one can be considered a bust or a success after only one year. His stats aren’t that amazing after looking at Cadillac Williams’ numbers last season. Still, 12 TDs and 1100 yards is tough to top when you’re splitting carries and still have 2 weeks left to play.

Marcus McNeil – LT is possibly the hardest position to play in the NFL. McNeil has done it amazingly this season, making room for LT and keep Philip Rivers upright. McNeil has done possibly the best job and isn’t a product of the system.

Marques Colston – 7^th round rookies never go for 1000+ yards and 7+ TDs as a WR! This is unheard of. Colston is my pick simply because of his accomplishments in regards to his draft status, the stats he put up before his injury (missed 3 games), and the fact he faced double teams quite often.

DeMeco Ryans – Ryans was a steal where the Texans got him. He’s a great player and is making an instant impact in Houston…moreso than Mario Williams. Ryans leads the league in tackles; but that’s not hard to do when your team barely has the ball on offense and the other team runs at you on every play.

Ernie Simms – Simms is a solid player with great football instincts. He’s durable (somewhat surprisingly) and he’s what Detroit wanted in the 9^th overall pick. Simms has made a larger impact than AJ Hawk, in my opinion, though they’re both less of an impact than Ryans has made in Houston. None of these top three linebackers from the 2006 draft class have really improved their team’s defense, but rather, have provided an additional body for opposing teams to run through.

Tamba Hali – This is my favorite for DROTY. Watching him, the guy is everywhere – he’s got a nonstop motor. He’s putting up good stats this year – 50 tackles, 6 sacks, 4 FF, and 1 INT. Solid stats at DE and has really improved the Kansas City pass rush. However, Mark Anderson has 10 sacks on a Bears DL that, when healthy, is considered possibly the best in the league. 10 sacks is an amazing number you just can’t ignore.

Rookies of the Year:
Offensive ROTY – Maurice Jones-Drew (Marques Colston SHOULD get it though)
Defensive ROTY – DeMeco Ryans

By the way – a running back has won the OROTY award 30 out of 40 times.

Week 15 - Comments and Concerns

It was a bad week for most receivers. It was a bad week for many running backs as well. When Ahman Green scored more fantasy points than Willis McGahee, Larry Johnson, Shaun Alexander, and Rudi Johnson, you know it’s a rough week.

As much as pass catching backs rule fantasy football leagues, you need help from your WRs. At times like these when Roy Williams is getting owned by Al Harris, Steve Smith is useless with Chris Weinke starting, Darrell Jackson is out with turf toe, and Randy Moss is considered a laughing stock, we need to plan for these types of events.

Steve Smith is essentially no better than a #3 WR with Jake Delhomme out. Deion Branch is seeing around 5 targets per game with Darrel Jackson out – pathetic. It’s times like these when backups shine and the highly drafted WRs make you pay. That’s one reason why highly drafted WRs never pan out well. Sure, Chad Johnson and Steve Smith are studs, but if Palmer/Delhomme gets hurt, these guys look average. This is why your first four rounds or so should be invested in running backs – Tomlinson, Johnson, Jones, Westbrook, Barber, Portis, Parker, etc.

Sure, guys like Terrell Owens have topped 1000 yards and gone for 11 scores…but Marques Colston missed three games and still has over 1000 yards and 7 TDs. My point is, guys like Marques Colston, Bernard Berrian, Mike Furrey, Eddie Kennison can get you to the playoffs in any fantasy league…as long as you rely on those pass catching backs for the bulk of your points. DJ Hackett was a solid pickup, as was Jeremy Stevens, Vernon Davis, and even Ronald Curry.

I guess I was wrong about the Seattle/San Fran game. The winds weren’t very bad at all and there was little to no rain. Vernon Davis produced, Alex Smith had a great day, Frank Gore produced, and Shaun Alexander laid an egg. Jeremy Stevens is a guy who could see more action in the coming weeks, so see if he’s available on the waiver if you need a TE for the playoffs. Why does Seattle to continually underutilize Deion Branch???

Roy Williams held to one catch? Al Harris is good, but not that good. Come on Roy, start playing like a pro. Why does Jon Kitna continually get free passes from Detroit media and the coaching staff? The guy is putting up terrible stats, as many fantasy players have found throughout this season; 350 yards means squat if he throws 3 picks and no TDs. Arlen Harris is not a substitute for Kevin Jones either, as you may have found out the hard way. With the way Chicago' s defense played last week, it's not hard to imagine a huge day for Roy Williams this week.

Ladell Betts is the real deal in Washington. Rumors are floating that the Skins want to unload Clinton Portis for someone like Shaun Rogers. Betts is continually a great flex back start in all formats.

Don’t fear – the Saints/Redskins game was merely a bump in the road. Brees, Colston, Bush, McAllister and co will be back to normal form this week against New York, now that the Saints aren’t a shoe-in for the bye.

Indianapolis is not as good as they seemed and neither is Dwight Freeney. Sure, Freeney sees a lot of double teams, but he’s not a continual double-digit sack type of guy, despite what his resume says. Some team will throw a lot of money away trying to get him for the next 6 years. Indy is playing up to their potential, but this past week, Cincinnati played down. By that, I mean they barely tried. Indy is a good team, but they’re extremely beatable...just ask the Titans.

The Titans – Wow. Vince Young is making an impact…too bad it’s hurting the stats that the rest of his team puts up. Tennessee’s defense is impressive. I thought they would have done pretty well against Jacksonville’s pass defense, but not as well as they did. I’m surprised Matt Jones did not work the Titan’s smallish CBs more.

The Bears gave up 31 points to a terrible Tampa Bay squad? Personally, my fantasy teams were strongest in the running backs, defense, and IDP areas…but last week they all failed miserably. Larry Johnson was owned by terrible play calling, Chicago stunk it up, Jacksonville stunk it up, Carolina has been terrible this year and should continue to be terrible as they have many holes to fill, Randy McMichael has become nonexistent in Miami, and so on.

One final question – where has Denver’s defense gone? Giving up 20 points to Arizona and over 100 yards rushing? Arizona is 31^st in the league in rushing. Denver still has the wild card race, so why let Arizona make you look bad? Denver’s in for a world of hurt if they end up playing Jacksonville in the wildcard game.

Week 15, SF @ SEA - Start and Bench

So the weather for tonight's game in Seattle is supposed to be awful. By awful, I mean 25 mph winds with 50 mph gusts and 100% chance of rain. With that in mind, let's look at tonight's start and bench.

Seattle
Matt Hasselbeck - BENCH. Wind and rain. Hasselbeck could have a huge week or a terrible week. Who knows? With a heavy dose of Alexander expected, I don't see Hasselbeck throwing more than 35 times. If you have other decent options take them. Numbers that you should expect - 18/32 210 yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs.
Shaun Alexander - START, START, START. Possibly a bigger fantasy day than his 202 yard performance. With the rain and wind, Alexander will carry the load. I imagine a lot of missed tackles and a lot of yards/TDs for Alexander. The weather won't affect him either, as he's shown he can carry the rock in incliment weather.
Darrell Jackson - BENCH. Jackson is OUT this week and Burleson will be starting in his place.
Deion Branch - BENCH. The weather should result in a 3-4 catch 50 yard performance for Branch. If I'm taking one Seattle WR, I'd be Deion Branch based on potential alone. Maybe Hasselbeck will realize he exists and can excel at running drags and posts?
Nate Burleson - BENCH. Despite the fact that he's getting the start, more DJ Hackett is expected than Nate Burleson. I don't like any Seattle WR due to the wind and rain.
Jeremey Stevens - RISKY START. Hasselbeck should be looking more for his TE in a game that should see a run dominated offense with very short passes spread throughout.
Seattle DEF - START. They've got good chances to shut down the Niners tonight considering the weather.

San Francisco
Alex Smith - BENCH. He's an okay fantasy backup, but he's never played in weather like this as a pro.
Frank Gore - RISKY START. Gore is a must start in any format in my opinion. The guy is #3 in rushing this season and one of the top 3 most productive fantasy backs. He consistantly puts up great numbers and he'll carry the load tonight in terrible weather. Keep in mind that he'll more than likely have at least one fumble, but don't let that discourage you as he COULD easily see the ball 30 times and go over 100 yards with a score (as well as 2 fumbles), all depending on the weather. However, it's hard to imagine Seattle NOT putting 9 guys in the box to shut him down. Check your options and then make a tough decision (Betts, Jones-Drew, and Morris would all be much better starts). See Vernon Davis below...
ALL SF WRs - BENCH. Alex Smith won't do much in 25 mph wind, especially with Antonio Bryant as his #1 WR.
Vernon Davis - START. The lack of production expected from Smith's WRs leads me to Davis. Hurt for most of the year, he's practically a WR when healthy. He's healthy and had a very good game last week. Expect Smith to use him quite often in the short passing game as the wind is going to definately be a factor. Dare to say, 6 catches 80 yards and a TD?
San Francisco DEF - BENCH. Two words: Shaun Alexander.

Check the blog out tomorrow for a full weekly start and bench.

Week 14 Questions

Q: I want to pick up Cedric Houston as a FA but I have to drop somebody. I have 6 RBs so I think one of them has got to go.

Which one do I release that has the least potential to be a move that comes back to kick me:

Benson, Mike Bell, Droughns, Rhodes, Brandon Jacobs

I am keeping Dillon as he has been my every week starter.

Also there are not many WR options out there so I have been starting Chambers as my flex WR/RB but do any of these guys warrant a start over him?


A:I'd drop Mike Bell. After Tatum's domination last week against the Seattle run D, I don't think we'll see much more Mike.

DeAngelo Williams looked awesome last week and may still be around. He gets a lot of catches and would be a great flex back. Would let you start Chambers at WR instead of at the flex.

Wali Lundy is a solid option. He's facing some awful run defenses in the next few weeks. He's starting too, so that's a plus. He's another guy who gets his share of catches and would be a good flex start.

Sammy Morris is starting in Miami with Ronnie Brown out with a broken hand.

Santonio Holmes is starting with Cedrick Wilson out this week (ankle). Would be a decent start against Cleveland.

Matt Jones might still be available. He's only good when he matches up on small corners playing man though. Those good matches for him are few and far between, but when he does get one, he can really dominate.

Whoever plays the Lions should have a good week in terms of WRs. I actually like Marcus Robinson this week. He's got a huge frame and good body control. He's got decent hands and should be able to fight for the ball easily over our weaker, smaller DBs.

Mark Bradley should start seeing more action as the Bears start resting Moose and Berrian a little more than normal. Bradley is quick, runs solid routes, and can stretch the field. I love what the guy brings to the team, he's far too underused.

I think we'll see much, much more Brandon Jacobs in the coming weeks, especially considering Tiki has been talking retirement. Jacobs should start seeing more than just goal line duty.

Also, I think Jerious Norwood is going to start seeing many more carries, as Warrick Dunn will be 32 at the end of the season and has more wear on him than Tiki Barber, who's already talking retirement. Dunn's a good player, but with Atlanta at 6-6 and in the wildcard hunt, they're going to build for the future while keeping their players healthy and rested. Norwood is a very fast back, who's similar to Dunn...so the drop off wouldn't be huge.

There may be a Travis Henry is the FA/waiver pool as well...you never know.

Week 13 - Start and Bench

START
QB
Rex Grossman, Chicago – After a long, disappointing drought, Grossman is back this week against the 31^st ranked pass defense in the league. If Matt Leinart can throw for 400+ without the hint of a running game, the two speedsters Berrian and Bradley will have a field day on Fred Smoot, Darren Sharper, and Antoine Winfield. Expect another big game from Berrian.
Tom Brady, New England – Do I really have to say anything more than he’s playing the Lions. However, the Lions typically win the games they’re most likely to lose (Atlanta this season, Baltimore last season) and lose the games they could win.
Tony Romo, Dallas – After last week, you just can’t bench this guy. The Giants are in shambles, with Tiki Barber seeing all his goal line TDs go to a backup, Michael Strahan spouting off at reporters, and the huge amount of injuries that have plagued this team, especially defensively. Romo uses all his weapons, and uses them equally as well. Consistency is the key once again.
Marc Bulger – Bulger faces an Arizona defense that is fairly solid, but lacks consistency. Bulger needs more production of the rest of his offense, rather than relying on Steven Jackson to rack up 192 offensive yards. I expect Torry Holt to show an inexperienced Antrel Rolle how to run routes and be effective, even as an aging player.

RB
Sammy Morris, Miami – So Ronnie Brown is out for a few weeks with a broken hand, which means Morris is the main-man in Miami. He's facing a tough Jacksonville run defense, but Miami is better than they show and Morris should be able to break in and prove he's a solid back, averaging 4.7 yards per carry this season.
Travis Henry, Tennessee – Once again Henry is facing the league’s 31^st ranked rush defense in the Colts. The first time, he ran for 123 yards on 19 carries as the Titans lost 14-13 to the Colts. The Titans are hungry and a win here would really help this team and their confidence. I think Henry will go for just over 100 and a score in this game. Plus, LenDale White has a minor injury and Chris Brown could be active.
Ahman Green, Green Bay – Green has been terrible this year, but it doesn’t help he’s got two rookies blocking for him, a new system, and a new staff. Green has to break out of this funk he’s in, and there’s no better time to do so than against the Jets
Edgerrin James, Arizona – James is worth a start against the league’s worst rush defense, the Rams. James proves he still has some speed left, as she demonstrated against the Lions patchwork Cover 2.

WR
Jerrico Cotchery, NY Jets – It’s safe to assume that Al Harris will be matching up on Laveranues Coles for most of the game, leaving Charles Woodson on Jerrico Cotchery. Woodson’s had one good game this season, last week. However, expect the Jets to air the ball out much more than Hasselbeck did last week, resulting in Green Bay relying on their safeties to help with deep coverage…the team’s biggest weakness.
Bernard Berrian, Chicago – After allowing 312 receiving yards on 20 receptions to Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald, Bernard Berrian is a safe start this week, as he’s sure to torch an awful Minnesota secondary.
Santonio Holmes, Pittsburgh – With Hines Ward out this week, Nate Washington and Santonio Holmes should both see a much increased role in the Pittsburgh offense. Holmes has been targeted six times per game, with four catches for over 50 yards in each of the past four weeks.
Torry Holt, St. Louis – As I mentioned with Marc Bulger, I see Torry Holt regaining his role as the main-man in this receiving group. He’s one of the best in the game and will show an inexperienced Antrel Rolle how to run routes and make plays.

W/R
Joseph Addai, Indianapolis – Addia is officially the man in Indy, in my opinion. His carries have dominated Dominick Rhodes, who has been producing little compared to Addai. Addai’s monster game last week shows that he can run well and he can catch extremely well.
Marion Barber III, Dallas – Barber has been continually stealing carries from Julius Jones over the season. Barber has 9 total TDs compared to Jones’ 3, plus he’s averaging 1.1 yards per carry more than Jones. Last week, he had 2 receptions, both for TDs. He’s the go-to guy in Dallas. Against the Giants, Barber should continue to see all goal line attempts as well as a larger load.
Ladell Betts, Washington -- Atlanta's defense has been terrible lately, especially against the pass. Betts is a great backup, possibly on the waiver wire, and sees a lot of action out of the backfield. He's a great flex start this week against a thin, hurting Falcon defense.

TE
Chris Cooley, Washington – Cooley has been the second top producing fantasy TE since Week 8. Jason Campbell has been targeting Cooley more than Santana Moss lately, giving Cooley three long balls for a score. What really helps for Cooley is that Jason Webster and Jimmy Williams are both hurt, so Omare Lowe may get the nod. That’s good for any receiver.
Ben Watson, New England – Watson is the primary receiving target in New England and has a great rapport with Tom Brady. Detroit is awful against TEs, with a young linebacking corps and a secondary that can’t even stop Matt Leinart.

K
Jeff Wilkins, St. Louis – Wilkins has been at the top of his game this season. St. Louis should move the ball pretty easily against the Cardinals, who have given up 22 field goals this season (tied for 3^rd most in the league) in addition to 28 PATs (25^th in the league).

DEF
Pittsburgh – Tampa’s offense has been weak for the bulk of the season. Tampa is 29^th in the league in passing and 31^st in rushing, despite only giving up 21 sacks (12^th best in the league). Pittsburgh’s secondary is hurting, but it’s good enough to shut down Tampa’s lack of passing attack.
Kansas City – Though the Chiefs aren’t better than average in pass or rush defense, the Browns are pretty bad in both areas. The Browns have a 16 total TDs…they’ve also thrown 16 INTs. That’s pretty bad.

BENCH
QB
Aaron Brooks, Oakland – Any QB facing Houston’s pass defense is a tempting start, but Brooks showed last week, that despite starting off hot, he can throw a game away. He also exposed some weaknesses in the San Diego defense.
Trent Green, Kansas City – Cleveland has an underrated pass defense…13 TDs allowed and 14 picks on the season. Green has been barely average in his time back, completely relying on Larry Johnson to do it all. Don’t expect Tony Gonzalez to dominate this week either. Cleveland prepares against one of the best TEs in the league in Kellen Winslow, every single week.
Bruce Gradkowski, Tampa Bay – Bruce is a solid QB, especially for a rookie, but Pittsburgh’s defense is still tough, without Troy Polamalu. Joey Galloway is about as inconsistent as you can get and should not be a problem for Pittsburgh’s corners. Clayton is essentially a non-threat, so it all relies on Galloway.

RB
Julius Jones, Dallas – Jones is steadily losing carries to Marion Barber, especially goal line carries. Last week, Jones didn’t see any catches, while Marion Barber saw two…both for TDs. Jones is essentially a non-scoring factor, unless he breaks one for over 30 yards. I wouldn’t worry about that either – his longest run this year is 33 yards.
Thomas Jones, Chicago – Nobody runs against Minnesota…so they throw. Minnesota’s top rushing defense in the league means that the dancer, Thomas Jones, should stay on the bench this week. Expect to see more of Cedric Benson, who’s a much more powerful runner.
Willis McGahee, San Diego – Why don’t I like McGahee against a San Diego defense that allowed over 110 rushing yards per week in weeks 9 through 12? Shawne Merriman. He’s back and he’s going to be making up for the four games he missed.
DeShaun Foster, Carolina – Foster has an elbow injury, so he may or may not play this week. If he does play, he’ll definitely split a lot of time with rookie DeAngelo Williams. Williams is a much better ball catcher, so expect Williams to see an additional role for that reason as well.

WR
Chris Chambers, Miami – Chambers hasn’t even topped 75 yards receiving this season. Harrington has mad man-love for Marty Booker, which was unexpected. Chambers has looked bad enough, not even getting open against crappy cornerbacks.
Plaxico Burress, NY Giants – When Eli’s bad, Plax is bad. Eli should be bad again this week against a steadily improving Dallas defense. After the job they did against Eli’s brother and co (limiting the Colts to 14 points), it’s a safe bet to keep Plax on the bench until he starts finishing some routes.
Deion Branch, Seattle – Jackson is still the main target in Seattle, meaning he’ll get most of the matchups on Champ Bailey, possibly the league’s top corner. Branch has been underperforming for the amount of times he’s targeted and doesn’t seem to be playing to his full potential. Branch will still see matchups on Darrent Williams, who’s no slouch himself.
Reggie Williams, Jacksonville – Williams has been inconsistent the entire season, not just since David Garrard took over. Last week Williams saw 4 catches for a whopping 31 yards, while Garrard has been using Wrightster, Jones-Drew, and Taylor in more of the primary role than his receivers.

TE
Desmond Clark, Chicago – Clark has been terrible after the early beginning of the season, when he was one of the hottest TEs in the league.

K
Olindo Mare, Miami – He’s average at best, but he always blows one the long kick he needs to make. Jacksonville still has a tough defense and Miami is running with Ronnie Brown. Harrington forces throws, so expect a couple turnovers and Mare having to kick from 45+ when he gets the chance. He’s 1 for 6 from 50+ and 7 for 9 from 40-50.

DEF
Denver – I like Denver’s defense, but I think Seattle has a good shot at putting up 17+ on the Broncos this week. Shaun Alexander proved he was healthy and that he was still dangerous last week, pounding out 40 carries for 200+ yards. Hasselbeck made some bad decisions last week, but should see an average game of 210 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT.

Week 12 - Comments and Complaints

Joey Harrington returned to Detroit to prove that he wasn’t the only problem. He torched Detroit 213 yards and 3 TDs. His one INT came on a bad decision that he should have let go out of bounds. Not only did Harrington torch the Lions, but he did so with Marty Booker, kudos to those of you who started Booker. I knew they had some chemistry, but you figured with the gambling style of play by Dre Bly, Chris Chambers was sure to be the one going over 100 yards. For future reference, keep Jon Kitna on the bench. He’s not starter worthy until he avoids sacks a little better and makes decisions quicker. By the way, expect a lot more Sammy Morris now that Ronnie Brown is out for a few weeks with a broken hand.

If I thought of stats like 22/29 305 yards, 5 TDs, 0 INTs…the first name that would come to mind would probably be Peyton Manning, not Tony Romo! 110.8 passer rating, nearly 1700 yards, 13 TDs, and 5 INTs throughout five games. Nuff said. Romo’s a fantasy stud…which only makes Jason Witten, Terry Glenn, and TO’s value shoot through the roof. Even Pat Crayton has fantasy value once again. One stud who’s taken a back seat is Julius Jones. Jones is splitting carries with Marion Barber III and is being hurt by the goal line passing. Against the Bucs, the Cowboys passed for TDs FOUR times within the 10 yard line, though, two were to Barber.

As well, the Dallas Cowboys defense seems to be getting better and better. They’re a very good start from now on, but have some tough matchups. If they can play at the level they did against Tampa Bay, they’re unstoppable.

Jake Plummer yanked for Jay Cutler; no surprise there. Shanahan won’t deal with Plummer’s mediocre play. Of course, the fact that Denver’s running game has been awful for a few weeks doesn’t help at all. Denver’s been relying on the pass with a struggling QB, which doesn’t work very well – ask Ben Roethlisberger, Jon Kitna, or Charlie Frye. Mike Bell looked like a stud in training camp, what happened to him?

Larry Johnson is carrying the Chiefs, as many people expected. Replacing Huard with Green has seemed to have hurt the value of Eddie Kennison and Tony Gonzalez. KC really needs a playmaker at WR. Johnson’s carries were sure to skyrocket with Herm Edwards making the calls. I am surprised that Michael Bennett hasn’t gotten very many carries. Speaking of carries, Shaun Alexander got 40 in his healthy return against the Packers and ran for over 200! Regarding the Packers, Ahman Green looked like garbage, once again. The Packers offensive line just doesn’t run block very well. Green has been running with some injuries and has been running strong, but doesn’t seem to have the quickness and the burst he did last season, even against a weak Seattle front seven.

Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin are both superstuds. They both went over 140 yards against a decent Minnesota pass defense. Arizona will be lucky to squeeze another win this season with the schedule they have. Edge has been a complete bust this year, which I’m faulting to his pathetic OL and the fact that Arizona has played some very good run defenses. Troy Williamson has stunk this year and nobody has picked up the slack. Somehow, Brad Johnson managed 271 yards and 3 TDs last week. I’m not sure how with Marcus Robinson as his leading receiver. Don’t count on this “chemistry” sticking, because Robinson is inconsistent.

Hines Ward (out for Week 13) and fast Willie Parker have both stunk lately. Pittsburgh is officially in the tank at 4-7, unless you somehow see them running the table and winning the last five. Pittsburgh’s OL has allowed Big Ben to be sacked 39 times…in comparison, Detroit has allowed 44 sacks. That’s pretty pathetic considering how many Pro Bowlers are on Pittsburgh’s line.

Carolina’s offense is awful without Steve Smith having monster days, day in and day out. Jake Delhomme has shown that if Steve Smith is shut down, which is rare, he doesn’t have the playmakers in Keyshawn, Drew Carter, and Keary Colbert. It’s pretty sad when your first two WRs have a combined 114 catches and your #3 and #4 have a combined 23 catches. Keyshawn is a possession man and Smith is the playmaker. Carolina needs someone else.

Well, the bi-polar Rex Grossman let down a lot of fantasy owners, once again. But, don’t get used to it, he’ll more than likely tear it up this week. Wait to see the start/bench. Thomas Jones surprised me, 1 yard shy of triple digits. Benson looked very good as well. The Bears contained the run pretty well, which surprised me, but they did get eaten up by Ben Watson, who torched them for 87 yards on 6 grabs. Look for a lot more Watson this week against the Lions, who have terrible coverage LBs. After Asante Samuel’s 3 INT day, he could see some serious cash come free agency.

Jeff Garcia looked good against the Colts, but why is he not using LJ Smith more? As much as he bird-dogged Marcus Pollard in Detroit, I figured that Westbrook and Smith would turn into fantasy superstuds.

Joseph Addai with 200 all purpose yards? If you told me that in August I would have said you’re crazy. Addai is the man in Indy, as his numbers have dwarfed Rhodes for the past few weeks. Keep in mind, anyone facing Philly’s run D is a solid start!

Jason Campbell has brought back Chris Cooley’s once solid fantasy reputation.

Maurice Jones-Drew has been looking great this season. It’s only a matter of time before he takes over for Fred Taylor as the full-time back, which is bound to happen since Taylor is injury prone. Surprisingly, Taylor’s stayed healthy this season and has been running well. As well, Willis McGahee looked good returning from his injury.

TJ Houshmandzadeh has, arguably, number one fantasy WR status now that Chad Johnson is drawing double coverage. That is one nasty passing attack that Cinci brings. Now only if Rudi Johnson could start doing something. On the other end, the Browns have been ravaged by injuries and are awful. Their OL is looking like swiss cheese. Three out of the four Cinci sacks came on blitzes by LBs and safeties. Cleveland can’t pick up a blitz at all.

I was impressed with Aaron Brooks until he threw the game away in the 4th. What’s new, I guess? Antonio Gates was disappointing for a few weeks, but came back with a big week last week, thankfully.

Travis Henry helped to ruin me last week, but this week he’s going to run all over the Colts, just like he did the first time around this season. Vince Young had his best day and looked like he did at the Rose Bowl last year. I was impressed with his decision making, his running, and his accuracy/velocity on his passes.

NYG is in disarray. It’s getting rough for Coughlin when Tiki is upset and not getting any goal line touches. It’s just a matter of time before Tiki’s touches drop below 15 and Brandon Jacobs shoot up past 15. Time will tell.

Devery Henderson had a big week last week, but both Marques Colston and Joe Horn were hurt, so don’t expect another big repeat week. IF Colston is healthy (day-to-day), expect Colston to start and Henderson to backup. Where are all the Reggie Bush lovers at nowadays?

Week 12 – Turkey Day Starters

START
Tony Romo, QB, Dallas – Making the switch for Tony Romo was a great move. He’s got excellent pocket presence and he makes good decisions. He’s gotten both Terrell Owens and Jason Witten much more involved in the passing game. With Terry Glenn back and fully healthy, he’s proving he is a fitting in the scheme well. This has really opened up the run game for Julius Jones as well. Tampa’s beat up secondary will have a tough time just trying to hang with Owens, Glenn, Witten, and Jones.
Ronnie Brown, RB, Miami – Detroit’s run defense seemed awful without Shaun Rogers in the lineup. Well, Rogers is out again and Ronnie Brown tore up 157 yards against the last team running the Cover 2…the Chicago Bears. Brown was shut down last week (12 rushes for 2 yards), but expect him to rebound for a nice game. At least 85 yards and a score is a sure bet.
Javon Walker, WR, Denver – Kansas City’s pass defense is still solid and Ty Law is still a good corner, but Javon Walker is much too quick for an aging Ty Law. Walker has been developing a good rapport with Jake Plummer, so how Walker does is entirely dependant on how well Plummer plays. Walker has 45 catches for 799 yards and 6 TDs on the season. Those are numbers you can’t bench.
Chris Chambers, WR, Miami – Dre Bly has a big mouth and lives by the chance. He gambles a lot and Chambers is a top WR. If Harrington has time, Chambers should see a lot of looks, as he does every week, and should burn Bly on more than one occasion.
Roy Williams, WR, Detroit -- With Jones out, expect the Lions to throw a lot, since the Lions are down to running backs (Arlen Harris and Aveion Cason) who didn’t even make the training camp cut. The Dolphins have done well against top receivers, holding receivers to under 100 yards in each of the past four weeks. Williams, after four games over 138 yards, hasn’t topped 100 yards or scored in the past two weeks. Expect this all to change as the Lions throw a lot and Roy is a great player.
Olindo Mare, K, Miami – Mare is an average kicker at best, but he’ll be kicking in a dome and should have more than a couple easy attempts. Kickers against the Lions are 19/22, meaning the Lions are ranked 28^th in the league against opposing kickers.
Dallas, DEF – Bruce Gradkowski is an effective QB, but he won’t be against Dallas. Cadillac Williams has been virtually non-existent until last week when he broke out for 122 yards. However, Dallas doesn’t have Washington’s defense, they’re much better. Dallas is extremely tough against the pass, with 9 TDs allowed and 12 INTs, along with a 55.4% completion rating; and Dallas is fourth against the run.

BENCH
Trent Green, QB, Kansas City – Green is over the hill. Huard should not have been pulled as he was effective, which is all that Trent Green was. Without Tony Gonzalez, once again, Green will struggle. Expect Larry Johnson to be the only offensive focal point once again.
Kevin Jones, RB, Detroit – Jones is listed as questionable, but it’s very unlikely that he’ll get the clearance this week. Bench all Detroit RBs for that matter.
Cadillac Williams, RB, Tampa Bay – Dallas is fourth in the league against the run and Tampa has been awful running the ball against solid run defense teams. Tampa will be down early, so they’ll be passing a lot, leaving Cadillac as a blocking back more than anything.
Joey Galloway, WR, Tampa Bay – Galloway is targeted quite often by Bruce Gradkowski, but don’t expect Galloway to show up this week, as Gradkowski will be pressured all day and Galloway will struggle to get open. Galloway is one of the most inconsistent receivers in the league, so expect another let down this week.
Eddie Kennison, WR, Kansas City – Kennison is a horrible start this week, as he’s matching up on the league’s top CB (arguably), Champ Bailey. Without Tony Gonzalez to take some of the pressure off Kennison, it’ll be up to Trent Green to make things happen and Larry Johnson will, once again, end up doing it all.
Detroit, DEF – Do we really have to go over this? Detroit’s defense is hot and cold. Against Atlanta, they looked great. Against the Niners and Cards, they forgot how to tackle. Considering that Shaun Rogers is once again out, even though he’s back from his suspension, Ronnie Brown will have a much easier day rushing between the tackles. Detroit is allowing 126 rushing yards and 216 passing yards per game.
Tampa Bay, DEF – It’s hard to like Tampa’s defense when they’re playing a revitalized Dallas offense. Tony Romo is taking control and has a 3-1 record as a starter. After controlling a great Indy offense, Dallas isn’t about to let up by being controlled by the 29^th ranked offense.

Week 11 - Comments and Complaints

Week 11 Comments and Complaints

The Lions are definitely the most inconsistent team in the league. This offense, without Kevin Jones seems lost. Kevin Jones, by the way, will be out Week 12 and should be questionable for Week 13. Kitna needs around 5 seconds to throw the ball without any pressure, or else he makes horrific throws, forces balls into double and triple coverage, takes sacks rather than throwing balls away, and throws rather than running for a first down when nobody’s near him. It’s things like this that have been killing this team in many close games. Roy Williams is a stud, but he needs to make those basic, wide-open catches in order to be perennial Pro Bowler. Mike Furrey is a more consistent receiver; Kitna looks to him in big situations…Williams just does more with the ball after the catch.

I know a lot of people were hurt big time when Marques Colston went down with an injury early in the game. However, from what I hear, Colston’s injury is not bad and he’s listed as day-to-day. Keep monitoring his status until game-time and make your decision. If the guy is healthy enough to play, give him the nod over all but the studs (Gates, Shockey, Crumpler, Heap, and Winslow).

The Niners have been shocking everyone this season, after that awful start with the Arizona loss and the massive blowout by KC. This team is for real and they’ve got the most improved offense in the league, in my opinion. Their defense is decent, but nothing special. Their offense is extremely talented, as long as Frank Gore is in the lineup. Gore is a fantasy stud. Alex Smith could use some talent at WR as Antonio Bryant was a stud early on, but has been shut down as of late. I don’t see Bryant doing a whole lot better this week against the Rams solid pass defense. Look for Gore to carry the load once again, as the Rams are pathetic against the rush and defending pass catching RBs.

Donovan McNabb going on IR with a knee injury is a shot to both Reggie Brown and Donte Stallworth’s fantasy values. Jeff Garcia has no arm whatsoever and will be lucky to find Stallworth or Brown deeper than 20 yards. Expect Bryan Westbrook and LJ Smith’s fantasy values to absolutely skyrocket now that Garcia is starting at QB.

Marc Bulger really let everyone down last week. I expected a big showing from the Rams offense, but Carolina really brought the pressure and made Bulger look awful. This week will be entirely different as the Rams stifle the hot Niners and Bulger has a monster day.

Jamal Lewis is NOT as good as his THREE TD day. Lewis hasn’t broken 100 yards in a single game this season and his three of his five total TDs came last week. The guy just isn’t good anymore. He’s benefiting from Billick feeding him the ball 22-25 times per game, which can help even Ki-Jana Carter rack up 90 yards. Lewis’ scores are coming from an easy

What happened to the early season Rex Grossman? He’s been looking terrible. 11/22 119 yards and 1 TD are terrible numbers. Some of that is due to Mushin Muhammad having no speed anymore and Bernard Berrian being out and teams realizing that when you rattle Rex and make him throw off his back foot, it’s easy to shut down a deep threat passing game (Bradley and Berrian). Luckily, the Bears (Thomas Jones) are getting back to their run-first philosophy and starting to dominate games that way. Granted, the Jets are terrible against the run, they still ran for over 170 yards. We’ll see how the Pats handle the Bears reinstated run game, this week. Keep Jones on the bench this week, as he’ll more than likely start dancing behind the line and struggle.

Travis Henry is a baller. The guy is explosive and tough. He had a couple weeks there where he failed to meet even bad expectations, but he proved that he can tear it up against some of the best teams. The Eagles have a solid rush defense, and Henry broke out for 143 yards on 18 carries. Henry is a solid start until he proves otherwise.

Did Ahman Green fail you too last week? Sure, he was a bench going into the week, but with injuries, I had to start him. Thanks for the whopping 28 yards on 13 carries. It’s not all Green’s fault, his OL is terrible and the play calling in Green Bay has stunk. I still can’t figure out how Green has a 4.2 ypc average the way he’s been running.

Don’t expect any more monster games from Lee Evans. He got lucky facing atrocious Houston coverage last week. Houston has a terrible pass defense, so this just goes to show that anyone facing Houston is a solid start. Evans is explosive, but JP Losman and the rest of the Bills offense is not. Losman wasn’t pressured at all during the game and he had time to throw the ball. I’m a believer that even if the worst QBs are given enough time to throw, they’ll make plays (see Joey Harrington in December 2005).

San Diego is not the best team in the league. That belongs to the Bears, in my opinion. San Diego is quite possibly the best team in the AFC, but I’d like to see how they stack up against the ever-dangerous Pats and the tough Baltimore defense. I like the fact that Philip Rivers can help carry the team if LT2 were taken out of the equation. Rivers has been under-using Antonio Gates, which has been surprising for owners. As well, Rivers is spreading the ball around to everyone, especially backups in goal line situations. With their defense giving up 41 points to a Cincinnati team that was slumping, I question their Super Bowl ability, big time.

Oh yeah, for good measure, Jake Plummer stinks. It’s Jay Cutler time already.

Week 11 -- Start and Bench

START
QB
Tom Brady, New England (at Green Bay) – Brady’s last two starts have results in a combined 45/72 for 456 yards, 1 TD, and 4 INTs. Brady’s been making a lot of mistakes and forcing the ball, but he won’t against Green Bay’s 31^st ranked pass defense. Anyone matching up on Al Harris is in for a rough day, but Brady should be finding those #2 and #3 guys all day.
Matt Leinart, Arizona (Detroit) – Detroit’s allowing QBs to throw for a whopping 68.5% completion rating. This game all depends on Detroit’s ability to get pressure without James Hall and Shaun Rogers. If they can rattle Leinart early on, they should have an easy day, otherwise, Leinart will be threading the needle and both Boldin and Fitzgerald (hamstring) will have huge days (Fitzgerald, if healthy).
Bruce Gradkowski, Tampa Bay (Washington) – Washington has allowed nearly four league-worst passing defense stats this season: yards (2198), TDs allowed (18), INTs (2), sacks (13). Gradkowski is a decent QB who has put up decent stats on the season, especially for being a rookie.
Steve McNair, Baltimore (Baltimore) – McNair has been putting up decent stats, but he’s making a lot of mistakes and been playing against some bad pass defenses. Atlanta has a secondary that’s in terrible shape (allowing 273 passing yards per game and 11 TDs in the past five games).

RB
Thomas Jones, Chicago (at NY Jets) – The Jets are terrible against the run, giving up 4.5 ypc and 13 TDs on the season. The Bears have gotten back to that run game to control the clock, which is what they’re all about. Jones will go for around 100 yards and at least one TD, with Benson getting some garbage time.
Anthony Thomas, Buffalo (at Houston) – Thomas has a ton of talent, as evidenced by his 243 yards and 2 TDs since McGahee’s injury. Thomas is looking to steal the spotlight and make people forget about McGahee, while he’s out with injury; plus, the Texans are as bad as the Jets when it comes to defending the run.
Julius Jones, Dallas (Indianapolis) – Anyone facing Indy’s rush D is a definite start. Here’s the stats: 159 yards per game, 5.1 yards per carry, 10 TDs, and 77 first downs. Those numbers are incredible...for opposing rushers. Jones is a great talent and should tear it up this week.
Warrick Dunn, Atlanta (at Baltimore) – Last week with Ray Lewis out, Travis Henry rushed for over 100 yards. Dunn is a better back and on a much better team than Henry and has been dormant for awhile. Atlanta needs to rely on the run this week and Vick will get eaten alive by Baltimore’s top pass defense. Dunn should get 22-24 carries.

W/R
Ladell Betts, Washington (at Tampa Bay) – With Portis out, Betts is going to see a ton of action. He’s done extremely well at the beginning of the season when Portis was injured. Betts generally sees a lot of catches (4 last week after filling in when Portis went down), so he’d be a perfect flex back this week against a struggling Tampa Bay secondary and rush defense that are equally bad.
DeShaun Foster, Carolina (at St Louis) – St Louis has been awful against the run this year, allowing 143.3 yards per game on 5.1 yard per carry and a total of 10 TDs on the ground this year. Carolina will look to limit mistakes against the Rams solid secondary and feed both Foster and DeAngelo Williams.

WR
Joey Galloway, Tampa Bay (Washington) – Normally, I’d bench Galloway due to his inconsistency and the fact he’s prone to laying eggs in games he’s expected to due well in. Washington has a terrible pass defense and doesn’t seem to be able to get pressure on the QB in any way, shape, or form, so I believe Gradkowski will have a lot of time to throw and Galloway will have time to get open.
Braylon Edwards, Cleveland (Pittsburgh) – Edwards has scored in the past two weeks and is facing a Steelers’ secondary who gave up 398 yards and 1 TD to the Saints, 232 yards, 4 TDs, and 2 INTs to the Falcons, and 227 yards and 3 TDs to the Broncos; all in the past four weeks. Edwards will have to bear the load as it’s inevitable that Droughns will do anything on the ground and Winslow could easily be shut down. The Steelers have allowed less than 10 yards to TEs since Crumpler torched them for 117 yards and 3 TDs in week 7.
Javon Walker, Denver (San Diego) -- Walker has averaged 5.3 catches for 86 yards and a touchdown, along with a 72-yard run for a touchdown in one game, over the past month. In that same time, San Diego has allowed opposing receivers to accumulate 13 receptions for 201 yards and 1.8 touchdowns per game. It doesn’t help when Chad Johnson goes 11 catches and 260 yards on you. Plummer should have additional time to throw with Shawn Merriman still serving his ‘roids suspension.
Donte' Stallworth, Philadelphia (Tennessee) -- For the first time since week 2, Stallworth has been healthy and is showing it with 6 grabs for 139 yards and a score. The Titans also have their fair share of pass defense problems. Over the past month, Tennessee has allowed opposing receivers to snag 13 grabs for 169 yards and 1.67 touchdowns per outing. That’s big days for Stallworth, Brown, Smith, and Westbrook.

TE
Antonio Gates, San Deigo (at Denver) – If you have Gates, you’re probably starting every week. However, I see a big game in the future for Gates, as Denver will be dead set on shutting down Tomlinson. San Deigo’s wide receivers are nothing special and should draw single coverage, but once Gates starts drawing that safety coverage, the WRs will threaten. Gates should act as a decoy quite a bit in this game as well as a huge part of the actual pass catching offense.

K
Jason Hanson, Lions (at Arizona) -- I do believe this will be an offensive shootout in the desert. Arizona’s defense shows up when they feel like it and can’t match up with Detroit’s personnel. Hanson will get more than a couple FG chances and makes the most of them, as he’s #13 on the all-time scoring list.

DEF
Miami (at Minnesota) – The Vikings offense has looked terrible in the past few weeks, putting up a measly three points on a barely average San Fran defense. As well, the ‘Phins have held the Bears and the Chiefs to a combined 23 points over the past two weeks; don’t bet on Brad Johnson to get the offense rolling.

BENCH
QB
Eli Manning, NY Giants (at Jacksonville) – Eli had an awful week last week and has failed to throw for over 200 yards since week 5. Jacksonville has a very good defense and this should be up to the Jags and how well Garrard can move the ball through the air. The Jags got lit up by the Texans once again, but look for a big rebound this week.
Trent Green, Kansas City (Oakland) – Trent Green has historically been a good QB, but pulling Damon Huard for a rusty Green (who hasn’t played in 9 weeks) is just a terrible move. Oakland has an excellent pass defense and did a great job against Denver last week. Oh yeah, without Gonzo, Green will struggle even more.
Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh (at Cleveland) – Big Ben faces an underrated Browns defense that has limited him to two touchdown passes in three career meetings. Despite a secondary ravaged by injury, only four teams have allowed fewer passing yards or TDs than the Browns. The last quarterback to throw for multiple scores against them was Carson Palmer in week 2, and Steve McNair's 264-yard outing the following week was the last time anyone took Cleveland for more than 211 yards in the air.
Philip Rivers, San Diego (at Denver) – Rivers has been what Big Ben was last season, efficient; throwing for over 2000 yards, 66% completion rating, 13 TDs, and only 3 INTs so far on the season. However, I don’t like his chances against one of the league’s best defenses. Denver has allowed league lows in passing and rushing TDs, but they’ll have their hands full. Rivers has a very quick release, but Denver has a very quick group of linebackers, cornerbacks, and safeties, who are all experienced and make very quick reads.

RB
Chester Taylor, Minnesota (at Miami) – Miami’s defense has been playing great lately, holding the Bears and Chiefs to 23 total combined points. Just look at the job Miami did on Larry Johnson last week, holding one of the league’s best to 75 rushing yards. Taylor will be without Tony Richardson to pave the way, so he’ll be in for an even tougher challenge.
Jamal Lewis, Ravens (Atlanta) – When Brian Billick took over play calling duties, most expect Lewis to benefit and regain his 2003 form. Well, just look at his performance last week against a terrible Tennessee run defense (16 rushes 45 yards). I think we may see Mike Anderson and Musa Smith a lot more in the coming weeks if Lewis continues to lay eggs.
Ronnie Brown, Miami (Minnesota) – Ronnie Brown hasn’t been what he was last season. For being drafted so highly in fantasy drafts, he’s been awful this season. He’s just starting to get his 20+ touch games, but he won’t this week. Minnesota is dominating opposing rushers, holding them to 2.9 yard per carry and 66 yards per game.
Ahman Green, Green Bay (New England) – I shouldn’t have drafted Green, who has a rookie OG and OT blocking for him, and neither should you. Unfortunately, Green’s luck won’t change this week as the Packers will try to expose a Harrinson and Wilson-less Pats secondary and should run the ball very little, especially considering the Pats are #3 in the league in rush defense.

WR
Drew Bennett, Tennessee (at Philadelphia) – Bennett is quickly becoming Vince Young’s go-to guy, hauling in 6 grabs for 116 yards last week alone. However, he faces an Eagles pass defense that’s 8^th in the league and matching up on Lito Sheppard will be a tough matchup. I like Bennett, but I don’t like his chances on Vince Young having a successful day getting the ball to him.
Plaxico Burress, NY Giants (at Jacksonville) – I don’t like Manning this week, meaning I surely don’t like Plax either. Jacksonville has allowed exactly one touchdown pass on its home turf this season, and when you couple that stingy defense with Eli’s road struggles, it’s playing with fire by starting Plax. Plax also said he was going to torch Chicago’s secondary and well, we all saw what both he and Eli did in that game.
Laveranues Coles, NY Jets (Chicago) -- Coles has 13 grabs for 98 yards over the past three games. The Bears secondary has been exposed somewhat in the past few weeks, giving up all seven of their allowed TDs to WRs in the past five weeks. However, don’t start Coles against a Bears defense who dominated a solid Giants’ passing game last week.
Terry Glenn, Dallas (Indianapolis) – Since Bledsoe’s benching, Glenn has averaged a mere 3.67 receptions for 40 yards and 0.33 touchdowns over the past month. As well, he has a quad injury that may limit him. Over the past month the Colts have allowed opposing receivers to 9.2 catches for 106 yards and 0.5 touchdowns per outing. Glenn’s a desperation start at best.

TE
Ben Watson, New England (at Green Bay) – Watson has been awful the past two weeks, with a total of 6 grabs for 61 yards. Green Bay hasn’t allowed a TD to a TE all season and has been playing them extremely well. Green Bay is awful against the run, so expect New England to use Dillon and Maroney as much as possible, with a little Kevin Faulk in there as well.
Randy McMichael, Miami (Minnesota) – McMichael has been seeing an increased number of receptions with Harrington at the helm, but he’s failed to score a TD this season, after scoring five last season. McMichael has been a huge disappointment, despite having 37 catches this season.
Tony Gonzalez, Kansas City (Oakland) – He’s out this week, so that’s a no-brainer.

K
Neil Rackers, Arizona (Detroit) – Over the past three games, Rackers has averaged five kicking points per game while converting averages of one extra point and 1.33 field goals per contest. In the Lions past three games, they’ve allowed opposing kickers to average 7.33 points per game.

DEF
Carolina (at St Louis) – Marc Bulger has been excellent as always this season (64% completion, 2500+ yards, 13 TDs, and 2 INTs). I think that Carolina will be threatened and quite easily beaten this week, with the way Bulger has been playing and the way Steven Jackson has been playing. Torry Holt is a no-brainer this week and Isaac Bruce should see more passes than in the past couple weeks as well. The Rams have a great offense and an improved pass defense. Carolina will have to win this game without relying on Steve Smith and do it on the ground.

Week 10 – Start, Bench, Sleepers

Byes: None

Start
David Garrard, QB, Jacksonville – With a backup QB starting, the Jags will run the ball more often than usual (start Taylor and Jones-Drew). Garrard is possibly the best backup QB in the league and has a lot of weapons to work with. Houston is flat out awful, so expect the Jags (who are looking to destroy the Texans – who won the last matchup 27-7) to keep the Texans on their toes passing the ball.
Jon Kitna, QB, Detroit – Kitna’s gotten to that point where he’s a must start every week. It’s just hard to bench a guy who’s on track to throw for 4300 yards and 20 TDs…plus, the Niners pass defense stinks. Yeah, he'll probably throw a pick this week, but if he throws for 300 yards and 2 TDs, it'll be worth it.
Jake Delhomme, QB, Carolina – Delhomme is generally his best in the second half of the season. His first half hasn’t been much to gawk over, a whopping 8 TDs with 5 INTs. I expect Keyshawn Johnson to see more action during the second half of the season. The Panthers are fresh off a bye week, should have DeAngelo Williams back and ready to improve on a 4-4 record.
Chester Taylor, RB, Minnesota – What has happened to Brad Johnson, he’s been horrid! Green Bay has a decent pass defense and should force Minnesota to pound it out on the ground. Taylor should see 28-32 carries and a couple grabs.
Warrick Dunn, RB, Atlanta – Warrick Dunn saw a measily 11 carries last week and still produced well, despite the low number. This week will be an entirely different story as Jerious Norwood is out with a knee injury. Dunn will not only get the all the carries, but it’ll be a little easier on him as the Falcons play a rough Cleveland squad.
Corey Dillon, RB, New England – Two comments here: 1) the Jets have allowed more TDs on the ground than any other team in the league (13). 2) Despite the fact that Maroney has about 70 yard more than Dillon, Dillon still has twice the number of TDs. Dillon is the goal line choice in this offense and should see a couple more this week.
Anthony Thomas, RB, Buffalo – Opponents have been running wild on Indy’s defense (last in the league at 165+ yards per game). I expect Thomas to be running, and running a lot, because JP Losman struggles against Green Bay…Indy’s pass D is ranked 3^rd.
Braylon Edwards, WR, Cleveland – Edwards has seemingly disappeared in the past few games, but should remerge against Atlanta’s beat up secondary. DeAngelo Hall talks a lot of trash, but was owned last week by Roy Williams…and shoot, even Mike Furrey.
Mike Furrey, WR, Detroit – With Roy Williams posting half of the games this season with totals over 138 yards, he’s going to get double teamed sometime soon. Against San Francisco, with a weaker secondary, they should do that, leaving Mike Furrey open to a big day. Furrey’s no slouch either, 41 catches for 503 yards.
Matt Jones, WR, Jacksonville – Garrard or Leftwich, it doesn’t matter. The Jags are still passing the ball and still passing the ball fairly well. Reggie Williams is becoming more and more inconsistent and Matt Jones always plays well, especially when healthy. Jones was the Jags’ leading receiver last week and will post 80+ this week.
Laveranues Coles, WR, NY Jets – Coles has been quiet the past few weeks. The Pats weakness is their secondary, especially without Rodney Harrison and Eugene Wilson. Coles is a playmaker, so expect him to see the most grabs, however, Jerrico Cotchery is an unknown as of late.
Kellen Winslow, TE, Cleveland – Winslow is seeing a ton of passes his way (51 so far), but has been seeing less action with Joe Jurevicous back. Winslow will still see a lot of passes as Altanta’s secondary is hurting (Hall and Williams are both hurting and Smith was just put on IR).
Ben Watson, TE, New England – Watson has a good matchup on a Jets team that has been awful against TEs in the past three games (nearly 7 catches for 67 yards per game). Watson is seeing a lot of looks (~10 per game) and should see a score.
Morten Anderson, K, Atlanta – I expect Atlanta to win this game, but I also expect them to kick a few FGs. Anderson was rarely in FG range last week, but should be back to form, seeing a couple of attempts and a couple PATs.
Detroit, DEF -- Detroit’s defense is for real. They shut down the Falcons last week, who seemed three-dimensional with Vick’s new found passing abilities. Detroit will have a tough time rushing Alex Smith, but San Fran’s offense is nothing to drool over. Detroit should have an easy time controlling a weak offense as they’ve got a lot of players back from injury.
Denver, DEF – This one is pretty much a no-brainer, right? One of the league’s top 3 defenses against the league’s worst offense (arguably). Denver could take a couple turnovers to the house as well.

Bench
Brett Favre, QB, Green Bay – Minnesota has a decent pass defense. I expect this to be a good game, as Minnesota does their damage on the ground and Green Bay tries to through the air. Favre should see 240 yards, 2 TDs, and 2 INTs…if he’s lucky, but you can do better. Greg Jennings is still dinged up as well, which doesn’t help Favre.
Jake Plummer, QB, Denver – I liked Jake Plummer last year, but not this year. Jay Culter needs to get some time in because Plummer isn’t the answer. His one good game is behind him. Oakland has a good secondary and Rod Smith is hurting. Plummer has one playmaking WR, so Bell-squared should see action in the pass game and a ton of carries on the ground.
Eli Manning, QB, NY Giants – The Bears are for real and the game last week was a fluke. Sure, Tiki is going to get his yards, but Plaxico Burress is hurting (and running his mouth), so don’t expect Manning to have a lot of time to throw to open guys. Shockey should be close to a non-factor as the Bears dominate TEs.
Deuce McAllister, RB, New Orleans – The Steelers still have a great defense, which they proved last week when they held Denver’s RBs to less than 40 yards on 20 carries. McAllister is a good player, but he’ll be fighting for yards this week. Brees will be passing a lot, meaning big days for Joe Horn and Marques Colston.
Frank Gore, RB, San Francisco – Detroit shut down the best running team in the league last week, so don’t bet Frank Gore and the Niners offense against them. Detroit is finally clicking, after getting a few key players back from injuries. Alex Smith should have a lot more time to pass, as James Hall and Shaun Rogers are out, but the run defense should be up to par. Gore’s a solid start as a flex back, though, as he sees a lot of passes. Don't start Antonio Bryant either.
Travis Henry, RB, Tennessee – Starting Henry against Baltimore isn’t a good move. Henry is a good back, but the players around him aren’t. Baltimore has only allowed two TDs on the year and less than 65 yards per game. Those numbers are incredible. Don’t bet on one of the league’s worst rushing offenses to beat those stats.
Rudi Johnson, RB, Cincinnati – San Deigo’s allowed only four rushing TDs this year on 85 yards per game. Those numbers are good enough for 4^th in the league. Johnson’s not a good start this week, since the Bengals will be passing more often than not.
Rod Smith, WR, Denver – Oakland has a very good pass defense. Rod’s dinged up, but is a tough player and should play this week. However, he is getting up there in age and could see limited time on the field. Against a good secondary…bench him.
Randy Moss, WR, Oakland – It’s been time to cut bait with Moss for a long time now. If you still have him and won’t dump him, pick up someone else, like Chris Henry, Rashien Davis, or Matt Jones and start them. Moss is in a terrible offense and Champ Bailey is a top-5 CB, further reason to dump him.
Chris Chambers, WR, Miami – I’ll go on record to say that I don’t like any WR that has Joey Harrington passing to them. Joey is spreading the ball around a lot (unlike he did in Detroit), which is bad for Chambers. KC has done solid pass defense and I think KC’s secondary will shut down Chambers when they need to.
Andre Johnson, WR, Houston – When Houston matched up on Jacksonville in week 7, Andre Johnson lit up Rashean Mathis on 8 grabs for 106 yards and a TD. The Texans won that game handily 27-7. Mathis is a shutdown stud; and look for a complete turn around this time, with Matt Jones and Reggie Williams both seeing solid days. Don’t look for Wali Lundy to do much either.
Terry Glenn, WR, Dallas -- Glenn left practice with a knee injury, so he may be limited in his action this week. With Romo starting at QB, Glenn has been seeing less looks anyway, so the knee injury is just further insult to injury. Witten and Owens have the best shot at having big days.
Jeremy Shockey, TE, NY Giants – The Bears have been dominant against TEs this season. Shockey should see more passes with Toomer done for the year and Burress hurting, so a solid day wouldn’t be a shock, but don’t expect him to find the endzone.
Alge Crumpler, TE, Atlanta – Crumpler only has 30 catches on the season, but is Vick’s main target. The Lions rattled Crumpler last week and did a good job on him. The Browns work with Kellen Winslow week in and week out, so they game plan for shutting down pass catching TEs.
Jason Elam, K, Denver – Why bench Elam against Oakland? He’ll never get the shot to kick a FG, that’s why. He’ll be kicking PATs all day, but how likely is it that he’s going to get a shot from less than 40 yards?
Washington, DEF – The Redskins have so much talent, yet their defense has been playing so bad. I don’t understand. The Eagles are hungry for a win and better than their 4-4 record. Bryan Westbrook and LJ Smith should both have huge days as they’re tough matchups for the ‘Skins. Oh yeah, Reggie Brown will show why he deserves his new contract.

Sleepers
Reuben Droughns, RB, Cleveland – Droughns has been bad lately, but he can’t stay bad forever, right? Droughns has a ton of talent, but with little help from the passing game and almost nothing from the run blocking, he’s having a tough time. Atlanta was torched by the Lions offense last week and gives up huge numbers to pass catching backs. I think Droughns could have a solid day if Romeo Crennell can exploit that same weakness that Martz did last week.
Cedric Benson, RB, Chicago – Is anyone else sick of Thomas Jones dancing around in the backfield? Benson is the typical Bears running back, a big back that hits the hole hard and doesn’t go down on initial contact. Benson is seeing increasing touches every game, so gearing him for a starting role is inevitable.
Joseph Addai, RB, Indianapolis – I hate getting the question, Rhodes or Addai? Addai is the better back and the Colts are giving him more carries. Both are barely worthy of a start, except the fact they’re on the best offensive team in the league. Addai should see 80 yards and a score. Any more than 80 yards would be a sweet day for him.
Rashied Davis, WR, Chicago – Davis is starting in place of Bernard Berrian; who’s out for at least two weeks with broken ribs. Davis has impressed as a rookie and should be a huge sleeper if Grossman is getting the kind of time to throw that he got early on in the season. It’s all dependant on Rex.
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona – Fitz is going to come back strong, I can feel it. Dallas will have trouble hanging with one of the league’s top receivers. Boldin has been underachieving so far and Leinart will be throwing the ball all day.
Chris Cooley, TE, Washington – The Eagles are so-so against defending TEs and Chris Cooley is a good one. Mark Brunell seems to see him some weeks and ignore him on others, so it’s tough to judge when he’ll have a good day.
Jay Feeley, K, NY Giants – Sorry Bears fans, but I have this gut-wrenching feeling that Feeley could kick four FGs and keep the Giants in a great position to win this game. He’s reliable and the Giants have the power to move the ball down the field.
Green Bay, DEF – Green Bay made the sleeper list because of the fact that Minnesota’s offense is nonexistent without Chester Taylor. What has happened to Brad Johnson, he looks awful! Green Bay has a decent pass defense and should force Minnesota to pound it out on the ground.

Week 9 Comments and Complaints

JP Losman throwing the ball a measily 15 times? What is going on with that? Green Bay owned the TOP in this game. I'm just confused as to why he only attempted 15 tosses? Anthony Thomas was extremely impressive after Willis McGahee got injured. Hit up the free agent pool ASAP.

Chicago throwing the ball 42 times? Obsurd! This is a RUN team, not a pass on first and second down type of team. If Lovie wanted a passing team, he should have hired Mike Martz and gotten some backs who are a little shiftier out of the backfield.

Bernard Berrian is out 2-4 weeks which sucks, because he’s on my FF team! In all fairness, this leaves the Bears with a huge hole. Rashied Davis isn’t the deep threat Berrian is. Moose is a purely possession receiver. Mark Bradley needs to get in and get some time for this Chicago passing game to be effective. Speaking of which, the Bears should definitely start running more and get Cedric Benson a lot more playing time…it doesn’t help that Thomas Jones is dancing around in the backfield like Emmit Smith on “Dancing with the Stars.”

Why is Ben Roethlisberger passing 54 times in a game? Come on Bill Cowher, that’s not what your team is about, you run the ball, like Chicago. Stop hanging out with Lovie.

Steve McNair is the only QB in the league who could throw for 245 yards on 31 attempts without scoring and still manage to be the winning QB. His stats are about what you’d expect from him. As I said at the beginning of the season, he’s a fantasy bust.

Chris Cooley is coming back! The guy is a very good TE, but Brunell seemed to completely ignore him at the beginning of the season. Now, Cooley’s getting open and he’s tearing it up when he actually gets a catch.

Aren’t you glad the Reggie Bush loved has pretty much ceased to exist? 11 rushes for -5 yards? Give me a break. 4 catches for 22 yards? Again, give me a break. For a guy that was so hyped and considered “the next Gayle Sayers,” I haven’t seen a glimpse, outside of a punt return.

Owen Daniels is a nice FA/Waiver pickup, as he’s seeing a lot more action than usual.

Jake Plummer is NOT GOOD! Yeah, he’s had a one 3 TD game, but he’s stunk in the 7 games prior. No, he’s not turning the corner. I’ve heard so much talk about Plummer’s “new found connection” with Javon Walker that I’m going to be sick. Walker’s talented and can make things happen, but with the best running game in the league, Plummer still is struggling to pass well.

Tiki Barber – You’re an idiot for retiring at the end of the season. Somehow, this has to be an attention ploy or something stupid, because he sure doesn’t show any effects of excessive wear-and-tear.

Amani Toomer – Looks my “time to cut bait” with Amani Toomer came at the perfect time. He wasn’t producing and now he’s done for the season.

David Garrard; I’ve always liked this cat, but he’s sure made a believer out of me that he’s possibly the best backup QB in the league. Yeah, he was playing the Titans, but he still produced well. His passing stats 12/22 aren’t much to gawk at, but he’s going to start week 10 and he should do equally well (okay, maybe not 3 TDs, but he should still do well).

I would like nothing more than to say that Detroit's defense is for real, but it's not. I have faith in the team and the coaching staff and I honestly believe they're starting to gel more and more each week...but they've got too many injuries, especially up front. The news now is that James Hall is done for the year. With Shaun Rogers still out two more games, this leaves the starting front four at: Kalimba Edwards, Marcus Bell, Cory Redding, and Jared DeVries. That's an awful DL. Marinelli better be working his magic, because they're going to need all they can get, considering they were awful for most of the 8 games of the season.

Yes, Roy Williams talks a lot of crap, but he can talk all he wants if he keeps putting up 138 yard games on shutdown CBs like DeAngelo Hall. By the way, why isn't Hall getting a humongous fine for that ultra-cheap shot on Jon Kitna?