Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Keeper Question:

I am taking over someone else's keeper roster and I need two offensive keepers.

Tiki Barber (NYG - RB)
Ladell Betts (Was - RB)
Chris Cooley (Was - TE)
Vernon Davis (SF - TE)
Lee Evans (Buf - WR)
Brett Favre (GB - QB)
Darrell Jackson (SF - WR)
Greg Jennings (GB - WR)
Eli Manning (NYG - QB)
Randy Moss (NE - WR)
Brian Westbrook (Phi - RB)

We start 2 RB, 2 WR and 1 TE and 1 QB with standard point system.

Im keeping Westbrook but who else do I keep????

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Westbrook is the no-brainer, as for the rest:

Barber - retired
Betts - shares load with Portis
Cooley - a TE and not one of the top few
Davis - another TE with some upside but still a TE
Favre - too old to keep
Jennings - #2 WR for GB isn't worth keeping
Manning - don't have him rated very high at QB

So it comes down to one of the following WRs:

Jackson - top 49er, new team
Moss - top Pat, new team
Evans - top Bill, same team

Moss has the most upside this season, but he is 30 and has an equal amount of downside. He had just 553 receiving yards last year and 3 TDs. He is, however, now with Brady. That is much better than anything he saw in Oakland, but Brady will also spread the ball around to Donte' Stallworth, Wes Walker, Troy Brown, Ben Watson, and Laurence Maroney out of the backfield.

Jackson had 956 yards and 10 TDs in 13 games. He is still just 28 but also only played in 6 games in 2005 and that is the concern with Darrell. San Francisco lost Norv Turner which could hurt the passing game a bit and they will focus the offense around running back Frank Gore. Alex Smith will also look to Vernon Davis often as a strong passing option.

Evans had 1,292 yards and 8 TDs last season. He is just 26. The downside is that he plays for the Bills and their offense isn't nearly as dynamic as the Pats or even the niners seem to be. But JP Losman finished the season strong with and average of 222 passing yards per game over the last seven game while throwing for 12 TDs. Over a season that would be 3,550 yards and 27 TDs with most of the looks going Evans way. How did that impact Evans? In his first nine games he avg 12.7 ypc and had 2 TDs, in the last 7 games he avg 19.3 ypc and had 6 TDs. I like players who finish strong.

In my opinion, it is fairly close between the 3 WRs. Given that it is a keeper league I go with the young receiver (who just had his break out 3rd season) over a potential dud in Moss and a guy who might have trouble staying on the field in Jackson.

Ideally you have a different set of keepers next year. Most of the leagues I'm in start 3 WRs making them more valuable than in your league, I'd prefer to keep 2 RBs or a RB and top QB myself but you really don't have that option.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

can't wait for football season!

emoney
http://myfantasynation.com