Keeper Question:

I am taking over someone else's keeper roster and I need two offensive keepers.

Tiki Barber (NYG - RB)
Ladell Betts (Was - RB)
Chris Cooley (Was - TE)
Vernon Davis (SF - TE)
Lee Evans (Buf - WR)
Brett Favre (GB - QB)
Darrell Jackson (SF - WR)
Greg Jennings (GB - WR)
Eli Manning (NYG - QB)
Randy Moss (NE - WR)
Brian Westbrook (Phi - RB)

We start 2 RB, 2 WR and 1 TE and 1 QB with standard point system.

Im keeping Westbrook but who else do I keep????

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Westbrook is the no-brainer, as for the rest:

Barber - retired
Betts - shares load with Portis
Cooley - a TE and not one of the top few
Davis - another TE with some upside but still a TE
Favre - too old to keep
Jennings - #2 WR for GB isn't worth keeping
Manning - don't have him rated very high at QB

So it comes down to one of the following WRs:

Jackson - top 49er, new team
Moss - top Pat, new team
Evans - top Bill, same team

Moss has the most upside this season, but he is 30 and has an equal amount of downside. He had just 553 receiving yards last year and 3 TDs. He is, however, now with Brady. That is much better than anything he saw in Oakland, but Brady will also spread the ball around to Donte' Stallworth, Wes Walker, Troy Brown, Ben Watson, and Laurence Maroney out of the backfield.

Jackson had 956 yards and 10 TDs in 13 games. He is still just 28 but also only played in 6 games in 2005 and that is the concern with Darrell. San Francisco lost Norv Turner which could hurt the passing game a bit and they will focus the offense around running back Frank Gore. Alex Smith will also look to Vernon Davis often as a strong passing option.

Evans had 1,292 yards and 8 TDs last season. He is just 26. The downside is that he plays for the Bills and their offense isn't nearly as dynamic as the Pats or even the niners seem to be. But JP Losman finished the season strong with and average of 222 passing yards per game over the last seven game while throwing for 12 TDs. Over a season that would be 3,550 yards and 27 TDs with most of the looks going Evans way. How did that impact Evans? In his first nine games he avg 12.7 ypc and had 2 TDs, in the last 7 games he avg 19.3 ypc and had 6 TDs. I like players who finish strong.

In my opinion, it is fairly close between the 3 WRs. Given that it is a keeper league I go with the young receiver (who just had his break out 3rd season) over a potential dud in Moss and a guy who might have trouble staying on the field in Jackson.

Ideally you have a different set of keepers next year. Most of the leagues I'm in start 3 WRs making them more valuable than in your league, I'd prefer to keep 2 RBs or a RB and top QB myself but you really don't have that option.

With the first five picks (and beyond) in the 2007 FF draft...

August is one of the best times for fantasy football owners, you are still undefeated and you get to put together your own championship team. At least you have dreams of a championship. It is critically important not to make a mistake with your first round pick as you need a high production level to compete with the other top picks in the draft. Here is one fantasy football geek's ranking to help guide you through the first five picks should you select that high:

1. LaDainian Tomlinson, RB, San Diego Chargers
The easiest pick in the draft. LT had a career year in 2006 with over 1,800 yards rushing and a whooping 28 rushing TDs. That alone was almost enough to make him the FF MVP and the co-MVP of the league. LT lacks the questions of other top tier backs and his versitility sets him apart from the field. Add in 56 catches for 500+ receiving yards and three more scores through the air. LT is also capable of a 100 reception year as he proved in 2003. Lets also not forget that LT had a 125 passer rating with two touchdowns, which is actually quite pedistrian for the former Horned Frog who has a career passer rating of 152. If you get the first pick in the draft, time to start worrying about who your second pick in the draft will be because their is no question about the first pick.

2. Steven Jackson, RB, St. Louis Rams
You could make the argument for three players at this pick with Larry Johnson and Sean Alexander both worthy of consideration. Jackson, however, has youth on his side entering just his fourth year and he is a key cog in an explosive offense that returns all their key pieces and actually added more in the offseason. Jackson's carries have increased each year from 134 to 254 to 346 last year. His 1,500+ yards rushing and 13 rushing TDs last season vaulted him into the "stud" category. His league leading 90 catches for a RB for 800+ yards and another three scores push him into the elite category and right behind LT.

3. Larry Johnson, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
LJ is the big risk big reward pick in the draft. The good news is he is still young just entering his fifth year in the league and has posted back-to-back 1,700+ rushing yard and 17+ TD seasons. He will also get involved in the passing game with 410 yards last season along with another two scores. The bad news is that Johnson is holding out so far, Priest Holmes is back in camp, his 416 carries last year signal troubles, and his supporting cast is a big question mark heading into the season. With Trent Green gone, teams will load up in the box to stop LJ. With G Will Shields no longer around, the holes LJ is used to just won't be there anymore.

4. Frank Gore, RB, San Francisco 49ers
I was personally surprised when I ranked my RBs and Gore came in at number four, albiet in a virtual dead heat with Sean Alexander. Gore's breakout 2006 season included 1,695 rushing yards and eight rushing touchdowns. He added almost 500 more yards receiving and another score. He is entering just his third season so age/punishment is not a facor. The 49ers did lose offensive coordinator Norv Turner, which is a concern. But QB Alex Smith's career, also entering his third season, is on the upswing and he has more weapons (such as WR Darrell Jackson) than ever which will take some of the attention off of Gore. The niners finished 2006 strong and

5. Shaun Alexander, RB, Seattle Seahawks
Given that Alexander had 28 scores just two seasons ago and lead the Seahawks into the Super Bowl makes it tough to rank him as just the fifth best back in the 2007 fantasy draft. But Alexander has a few question marks that drop his status. First, he turns the dreaded 30 to start the season. Second, he missed six games last year with an injured foot. After losing star G Steve Hutchinson last year, his yards-per-carrry average plummeted to just 3.6. Alexander had never averaged below four yard in any of his first six seasons including a 5.1 average in 2005. Alexander and Johnson are the biggest risks among the top five draft picks given all their question marks.

After the top five the FF world becomes even more cloudy. While I'm a two-stud RB kind of guy, I think serious consideration has to be made for Peyton Manning at pick number six depending on league scoring rules. The difference between my sixth ranked RB and tenth is minimal. Other running backs to consider in the top ten include two second year players who both become their teams unquestioned top backs, Joseph Addai of the Colts and Laurance Maroney of the Patriots. Both proved to be capable runners last year and play on potent offenses. Steady and productive veterans make up the rest of the top ten which includes Brian Westbrook of the Eagles, Rudi Johnson of the Bengals, and Willie Parker of the Steelers. Ronnie Brown of the Dolphins I have ranked as just outside of the top ten. After the those backs you will be looking at plyayers who have switched teams, players in the nightmare running-back-by-committee systems, players who are coming off of injuries, and backs who have yet to prove they can carry the load.